Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 14.149544 16.491773 19.042653 22.019517 25.390177 29.080192 33.417187
2025-06-22 10.368947 13.609359 17.499701 22.476275 28.631134 35.948791 45.257770
2025-06-29 7.818953 11.307340 15.836537 22.062220 30.298605 40.712348 54.747437
2025-07-06 5.973252 9.410917 14.189506 21.173550 30.948622 43.947685 62.303043
2025-07-13 5.268916 8.904973 14.246486 22.443674 34.433595 51.010480 75.262769
2025-07-20 4.675218 8.427478 14.223385 23.514882 37.644348 57.853072 88.337027
2025-07-27 4.108028 7.875368 13.977529 24.166880 40.227102 63.918389 100.656506
2025-08-03 3.548382 7.227929 13.470465 24.311433 41.991600 68.843152 111.570096
2025-08-10 2.984934 6.467437 12.658017 23.836851 42.690050 72.146813 120.202153
2025-08-17 2.497210 5.754711 11.818753 23.194460 43.011028 74.823906 127.964516
2025-08-24 2.081626 5.102766 10.990259 22.455061 43.063618 77.020853 135.036443
2025-08-31 1.707991 4.462520 10.087363 21.461212 42.556748 78.223323 140.522943
2025-09-07 1.564675 4.323561 10.191038 22.445985 45.789708 86.124771 157.898613
2025-09-14 1.372096 4.038213 9.971239 22.813364 47.997790 92.550222 173.428123
2025-09-21 1.144566 3.613070 9.386714 22.377336 48.661512 96.340064 184.741023
2025-09-28 0.924840 3.147926 8.629810 21.474886 48.320020 98.286844 192.949118
2025-10-05 0.872749 3.127360 8.888924 22.760038 52.376914 108.442653 216.163735
2025-10-12 0.813062 3.070357 9.050590 23.844144 56.110177 118.220073 239.216777
2025-10-19 0.737718 2.946752 9.027293 24.503990 59.017760 126.615226 260.196100
2025-10-26 0.648472 2.754329 8.795840 24.650280 60.850779 133.061307 277.916666
2025-11-02 0.547142 2.490250 8.327553 24.169981 61.286633 136.807870 290.777084
2025-11-09 0.455670 2.229708 7.819163 23.519826 61.277141 139.651246 302.047850
2025-11-16 0.375837 1.983146 7.301397 22.771455 60.964496 141.840900 312.144671